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The Dichotomy of Budget 2024-25: A Tale of Two Socio-Economic Groups

The Union Budget 2024-25 has unveiled a series of fiscal measures that have left India’s socio-economic landscape more polarized than ever before. While entrepreneurs and the startup ecosystem are celebrating significant policy shifts, the salaried middle class finds itself grappling with disappointment and frustration. This dichotomy highlights the government's priorities and raises important questions about the future of India's economic trajectory.


 

The Middle-Class Conundrum

The salaried middle class, often the backbone of India's economy, feels particularly marginalized by the new budget. Personal income taxes in India are already high, and there's no social security net for those paying direct taxes. Unlike some other countries, where taxpayers benefit from comprehensive public services, the Indian middle class rarely sends their children to government schools or avails government rations. Instead, they rely on their hard-earned money to invest and secure their financial future.


  1. Increased Capital Gains Tax:

    • Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG): Increased from 10% to 12.5%.

    • Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG): Increased from 15% to 20%.

    • These changes will apply from today, effectively diminishing the returns from stock investments, a primary vehicle for the middle class to grow their savings.

  2. Indexation Benefits Withdrawn:

    • Last year, indexation benefits on debt mutual funds were withdrawn, and now, the same has been done for property sales.

  3. Rising Capital Gains Tax Regime:

    • There is a growing trend towards a 30% capital gains tax regime across all asset classes, making it increasingly difficult for the middle class to see significant returns on their investments.

  4. Limited Investment Options:

    • Most people in India can't afford to buy real estate due to its opacity and complexity, leaving stocks and mutual funds as the more accessible investment options. With the new tax regime, even these are becoming less attractive.

  5. No Relief in Income Tax Structure:

    • Despite the increasing financial burdens, there has been no significant relief in the income tax structure, leaving the middle class feeling overburdened and overlooked.



 

The Entrepreneurial Euphoria

Conversely, the entrepreneurial community is rejoicing over the budget's potential to foster a more vibrant startup ecosystem. The abolition of the angel tax, reduction of corporate tax on foreign companies, and lower capital gains tax on unlisted stocks are seen as crucial steps forward.


  1. Abolition of Angel Tax:

    • Entrepreneurs have long lobbied against the angel tax, which was seen as a major hindrance to startup funding. Its removal is a significant relief, allowing startups to attract more investment without the burden of additional taxes.

  2. Harmonization of LTCG Tax:

    • The harmonization of the LTCG tax at 12.5% across private and public companies is a boon for startup investing, making it more attractive for investors.

  3. Reduced Corporate Tax for Foreign Companies:

    • Lowering the corporate tax on foreign companies from 40% to 35% aims to make India a more attractive destination for foreign investments, thus boosting the entrepreneurial ecosystem.

  4. Commentary from Experts:

    • Anupam Mittal (Founder, Shaadi.com): "The much-dreaded 'Angel Tax' is officially abolished, and startups everywhere are breathing a collective sigh of relief. Hopefully, these are the first steps towards leveling the playing field and fostering a robust startup ecosystem."

    • Shantanu Deshpande (Founder, Bombay Shaving Company): "Great to see LTCG reduced to 12.5% from 20% on unlisted stock and real estate. This incentivizes the sale of unproductive assets to get money in circulation."

    • Kunal Bahl (Co-founder, Titan Capital): "Angel tax abolished! Fantastic news for the startup ecosystem!"

    • Bhavish Aggarwal (Founder, Ola Cabs): "Exciting to see the Union Budget prioritizing DPI, critical minerals, and job creation. This budget sets a strong foundation for India's tech-driven future."



 

The Broader Economic Implications

This budget reveals a clear dichotomy in the government's vision. On one hand, it champions entrepreneurial dynamism, innovation, and a startup-friendly environment. On the other hand, it places additional financial burdens on the salaried middle class, potentially stifling consumer spending and saving.


Implications for the Middle Class:

  • The increased taxes on investments may discourage the middle class from participating in the stock market, traditionally a key avenue for wealth accumulation.

  • With limited investment options, the middle class may struggle to find safe and profitable avenues for their savings.



Implications for Entrepreneurs:

  • The abolition of the angel tax and reduction of corporate tax rates are likely to spur investment in startups, fostering innovation and job creation.

  • These measures could lead to a more dynamic and diversified economy, with startups playing a crucial role in economic growth.


This budget raises several critical questions:

  1. Is this the end of the 'job for life' era in India?

  2. How will this shift impact job creation and economic stability in the long run?

  3. Is the government creating a 'sink or swim' economy? What happens to those who can't or won't make the leap to entrepreneurship?

  4. How will this impact income inequality and social mobility?

  5. Is this vision sustainable and inclusive in the long term?


 

A Call for Balanced Policy

For India to truly thrive, it’s crucial to strike a balance between supporting entrepreneurial ventures and ensuring the financial well-being of the middle class. Addressing issues like ESOP taxation and providing more comprehensive tax incentives for all forms of investment can create a more inclusive growth environment.


As we reflect on this budget, it’s essential to have an open dialogue about its impact on our lives and the country’s trajectory. By acknowledging and addressing the diverse perspectives, we can work towards a future that benefits all segments of society.


Join the Conversation: What are your thoughts on the budget? How do you see it shaping your financial and professional future?


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